Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002988 0.003342 0.003713 0.004128 0.004579 0.005054 0.005591
2024-10-27 0.002418 0.002913 0.003461 0.004107 0.004846 0.005661 0.006624
2024-11-03 0.002043 0.002603 0.003248 0.004040 0.004978 0.006047 0.007350
2024-11-10 0.001791 0.002395 0.003115 0.004027 0.005140 0.006442 0.008069
2024-11-17 0.001579 0.002207 0.002980 0.003988 0.005249 0.006760 0.008687
2024-11-24 0.001462 0.002123 0.002961 0.004079 0.005510 0.007257 0.009523
2024-12-01 0.001286 0.001944 0.002803 0.003979 0.005517 0.007432 0.009959
2024-12-08 0.001169 0.001834 0.002724 0.003971 0.005635 0.007739 0.010559
2024-12-15 0.001123 0.001817 0.002767 0.004121 0.005957 0.008312 0.011505
2024-12-22 0.001051 0.001756 0.002743 0.004177 0.006153 0.008722 0.012247
2024-12-29 0.001006 0.001730 0.002765 0.004294 0.006430 0.009241 0.013139
2025-01-05 0.000967 0.001710 0.002792 0.004417 0.006717 0.009777 0.014061
2025-01-12 0.000858 0.001576 0.002649 0.004294 0.006664 0.009864 0.014400
2025-01-19 0.000785 0.001493 0.002576 0.004268 0.006745 0.010132 0.014987
2025-01-26 0.000709 0.001398 0.002478 0.004199 0.006758 0.010303 0.015442
2025-02-02 0.000653 0.001332 0.002421 0.004186 0.006849 0.010581 0.016045
2025-02-09 0.000597 0.001260 0.002349 0.004145 0.006896 0.010796 0.016562
2025-02-16 0.000573 0.001244 0.002364 0.004240 0.007144 0.011299 0.017488
2025-02-23 0.000513 0.001156 0.002257 0.004136 0.007090 0.011367 0.017801
2025-03-02 0.000475 0.001107 0.002212 0.004128 0.007179 0.011640 0.018408
2025-03-09 0.000469 0.001117 0.002267 0.004283 0.007521 0.012288 0.019561
2025-03-16 0.000446 0.001093 0.002263 0.004341 0.007713 0.012718 0.020406
2025-03-23 0.000435 0.001092 0.002297 0.004461 0.008004 0.013300 0.021479